Taiwan Thinktank: Referendum support low

A survey by the Taiwan Thinktank released this afternoon indicated that while 64% of Taiwanese people support Taiwan applying to enter the UN under the name "Taiwan," only 46% support the current referendum efforts being pushed by the KMT and DPP while 31.6% oppose. Notice the 22% not replying.

This is good news and bad; it means that if the KMT follows the DPP's line and throws its weight behind both referendums (and I'm not counting on it), they could well pass; if not, they could well fail.

Should the referenda fail, do you think the international media will generously write that most people actually support spirit, but either opposed holding the referendum or holding the referendum in conjunction with the election?