tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3444895069543408811.post7457449330726427472..comments2023-10-06T18:55:46.317+08:00Comments on That's Impossible! Politics from Taiwan: Don't expect much from the next Legislative Yuan阿牛http://www.blogger.com/profile/08403972286057197709noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3444895069543408811.post-17218696087022573662007-12-14T03:48:00.000+08:002007-12-14T03:48:00.000+08:00I wouldn't say first past the post is unfair since...I wouldn't say first past the post is unfair since you also get to cast a vote for the party (which goes to elect the at large candidates). Techinically, the 45% of Green votes in Taipei is well represented by the Green at large legislators. But I agree that in practice, that's not going to happen.<BR/><BR/>But look at it from another angle... this election will set the voting patterns. I'm assuming there will be a lot of 51~55% Blue districts that could be considered low hanging fruit for the next election that DPP can focus its resources.irwinchttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09175879445715413526noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3444895069543408811.post-66757082217240654192007-12-12T15:58:00.000+08:002007-12-12T15:58:00.000+08:00I agree with you n.j. : the new system will not re...I agree with you n.j. : the new system will not really create a representative picture of the blue-green balance in society in either the north or south. It seems unfair.阿牛https://www.blogger.com/profile/08403972286057197709noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3444895069543408811.post-31504799495234636162007-12-12T13:10:00.000+08:002007-12-12T13:10:00.000+08:00this legislative election is interesting in the wa...this legislative election is interesting in the way that "first past the post system" is used to determine 2/3 of the seats. one would need to gather around 35% of nationwide votes ( which both KMT and DPP can easily reach ) to win 2/3 of the 70+ seats. then the 30+ seats by party preferences. <BR/>I read the election map on the main site with interest. if the analysis was correct - KMT would sweep almost entirely the north seats and DPP the south. Is this good? considering 45% in Taipei City support DPP and they might not have a single legislator from the DPP to represent them come 2008.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02437974490814908190noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3444895069543408811.post-40774090026602350572007-12-12T11:25:00.000+08:002007-12-12T11:25:00.000+08:00Fantastic analysis, A-Gu. Definitely "forward-wort...Fantastic analysis, A-Gu. Definitely "forward-worthy"!<BR/><BR/>In regard to the notion that the re-sized LY will yield more action, I think a lot of people mistake their expectations for an absence of general idiocy for a functioning legislative body. That is to say, since the new system is technically supposed to discourage campaign-oriented grandstanding by the wingnuts in each camp, many (myself included) have come to assume that elected representatives will suddenly turn to the business of running the country for lack of anything better to do. <BR/><BR/>This is where I think your analysis is spot-on: as long as the parties exert more control over a Member than their constituencies do, the only difference we'll see is in the size of the fist fights in the LY.Jasonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09759067282582187193noreply@blogger.com